Virtually all investment treaties contain provisions on the protection of investments from expropriation by a State.1 Two forms of expropriation can be distinguished:
Glamis Gold Ltd. v. United States of America, Award, 8 June 2009, para. 355; Ronald S. Lauder v. Czech Republic, Award, 3 September 2001, para. 200; Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle Ingredients Americas, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/5, Award, 21 November 2007, para. 238; Waste Management, Inc. v. United Mexican States (“Number 2”), ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/3, Award, 30 April 2004, para. 143; Windstream Energy LLC v. The Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2013-22, Award, 27 September 2016, para. 284; Teinver S.A., Transportes de Cercanías S.A. and Autobuses Urbanos del Sur S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/01, Award, 21 July 2017, para. 933; Gemplus, S.A., SLP, S.A. and Gemplus Industrial, S.A. de C.V. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/3, Award, 16 June 2010, para. 8.23; Telenor Mobile Communications A.S. v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15, Award, 13 September 2006, para. 69; LESI, S.p.A. and Astaldi, S.p.A. v. People's Democratic Republic of Algeria, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/3, Award, 12 November 2008, para. 131; Border Timbers Limited, Timber Products International (Private) Limited, and Hangani Development Co. (Private) Limited v. Republic of Zimbabwe, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/25, Award, 28 July 2015, paras. 504, 509; Zhongshan Fucheng Industrial Investment Co. Ltd. v. Federal Republic of Nigeria, Final Award, 26 March 2021, para. 131; Bank Melli Iran and Bank Saderat Iran v. The Kingdom of Bahrain, PCA Case No. 2017-25, Final Award, 9 November 2021, para. 748; Alejandro Diego Diaz Gaspar v. Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/19/13, Award, 29 June 2022, for. 532.
Under Article 13 of the Energy Charter Treaty (1994), indirect expropriation is characterized as “a measure or measures having effect equivalent to nationalization or expropriation.” The wording of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) (1992) is analogous,6 and, traditionally, bilateral investment treaties (BITs) have also contained similarly worded provisions.7
Dolzer, R. and Schreuer, C., Principles of International Investment Law, Oxford University Press, 2012, p. 102.
U.S. – Argentina BIT (1991), Art. IV; Australia – Mexico BIT, 2005, Art. 7; Georgia – Kazakhstan BIT, concluded on 17 September 1996, Art. 6; Azerbaijan – Kazakhstan BIT, concluded on 16 September 1996, Art. 6; Denmark – Mexico BIT, concluded on 13 April 2000, Art. 5; BLEU – Mexico BIT, concluded on 27 August 1998, Art. 5.1; Mexico – Chile FTA, concluded on 17 April 1998, Art. 9-11.
Cooperation and Facilitation Investment Agreement between the Federative Republic of Brazil and the United Arab Emirates, 15 March 2019, Article 7; Brazil-India Investment Cooperation and Facilitation Agreement, 25 January 2020, Article 6.3; Cooperation and Facilitation Investment Agreement Between The Federative Republic of Brazil and The Republic of Suriname, 2 May 2008, Article 7.
Under most investment treaties, contractual rights can also be subject to – direct or indirect – expropriation.12 However, there are scholars who argue that contractual rights – as a general rule – cannot be expropriated, as they do not constitute property.13
Dolzer, R. and Schreuer, C., Principles of International Investment Law, 2nd ed., Oxford University Press, 2012, pp. 126-129.
Thomas Gosling and others v. Republic of Mauritius, ICSID Case No. ARB/16/32, Award, 18 February 2020, para. 242; Caratube International Oil Company LLP and Devincci Salah Hourani v. Republic of Kazakhstan (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/13/13, Award, 27 September 2017, para. 822; Alexandrov, S., Breaches of Contract and Breaches of Treaty, The Jurisdiction of Treaty-based Arbitration Tribunals to Decide Breach of Contract Claims in SGS v. Pakistan and SGS v. Philippines, The Journal of World Investment & Trade, Vol. 5, 2004, pp. 555-559; Starrett Housing Corporation, Starrett Systems, Inc. and others v. The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Bank Markazi Iran and others, IUSCT Case No. 24, Interlocutory Award (Award No. ITL 32-24-1), 19 December 1983, para. 74; Phillips Petroleum Co. Iran v. Iran et al., Award, 29 June 1989, para. 76; Southern Pacific Properties (Middle East) Limited v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/84/3, Award, 20 May 1992, paras. 164-166; Wena Hotels Limited v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/98/4, Award, 8 December 2000, para. 98; Bayindir Insaat Turizm Ticaret Ve Sanayi A.S. v. Islamic Republic of Pakistan, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/29, Award, 27 August 2009, para. 441.
Douglas, Z., Property, Investment, and the Scope of Investment Protection Obligations, in Douglas, Z., Pauwelyn, J. and Viñuales, J.E. (eds.), The Foundations of International Investment Law: Bringing Theory into Practice, Oxford Scholarship Online, 2014, pp. 391-393.
Tribunals appear to accept that almost any legislative, regulatory or administrative action by the State would amount to a “measure” to which investment protection standards may apply.14 The threshold to be applied for establishing that such measure qualifies as an indirect expropriation of an investor’s property is a much more controversial topic.15
Bonnitcha, J., Substantive Protection Under Investment Treaties, A Legal and Economic Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 2014, pp. 231-232.
Unlawful resiliation of contracts can amount to an expropriation. See Getma v. Guinea and Caratube v. Kazakhstan.
UP and C.D Holding Internationale v. Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/13/35, Award, 9 October 2018, para. 331; EnCana Corporation v. Republic of Ecuador, LCIA Case No. UN 3481, Award, 3 February 2006, para. 194; Bureau Veritas, Inspection, Valuation, Assessment and Control, BIVAC B.V. v. Republic of Paraguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/9, Decision on Jurisdiction, 29 May 2009, paras. 110, 114, 117; Waste Management Inc. v. United Mexican States II, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/3, Award, 30 April 2004, para. 160; Azurix Corp. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, para. 315; Parkerings-Compagniet AS v. Republic of Lithuania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/8, Award, 11 September 2007, paras. 448-449; Mohammad Ammar Al-Bahloul v. Republic of Tajikistan, SCC Case No. V064/2008, Partial Award on Jurisdiction and Liability, 2 September 2009, para. 281; Deutsche Bank AG v. Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/2, Dissenting Opinion of Makhdoom Ali Khan, 31 October 2012, paras. 87, 94, 99; Accession Mezzanine Capital L.P. and Danubius Kereskedohaz Vagyonkezelo v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/3, Award, 17 April 2015, para. 157; M. Meerapfel Sohne AG v. Central African Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/10, Excerpts of Award, 12 May 2012, para. 310; Robert Azinian, Kenneth Davitian & Ellen Baca v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/2, Award, 1 November 1999, para. 83; Emmis International Holding, B.V., Emmis Radio Operating, B.V., and MEM Magyar Electronic Media Kereskedelmi és Szolgáltató Kft. v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/2, Award, 16 April 2014, para. 166; Vannessa Ventures Ltd. v. Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/6, Award, 16 January 2013, paras. 209, 214; Swisslion DOO Skopje v. The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/16, Award, 6 July 2012, para. 312; Mr. Franck Charles Arif v. Republic of Moldova, ICSID Case No. ARB/11/23, Award, 8 April 2013, paras. 417, 420; Kristian Almås and Geir Almås v. Republic of Poland, PCA Case No. 2015-13, Award, 27 June 2016, paras. 262-263; Getma International and others v. Republic of Guinea, ICSID Case No. ARB/11/29, Award, 16 August 2016, para. 371; Caratube International Oil Company LLP and Devincci Salah Hourani v. Republic of Kazakhstan, ICSID Case No. ARB/13/13, Award, 27 September 2017, para. 939; SGS Société Générale de Surveillance S.A. v. Republic of the Philippines, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/6, Decision on Jurisdiction, 29 January 2004, paras. 161-162; Convial Callao S.A. and CCI - Compañía de Concesiones de Infraestructura S.A. v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/2, Final Award, 21 May 2013, paras. 541-542.
Under the prevailing - but by no means universal - view, a holding on indirect expropriation should primarily - or even exclusively - be based on the effects of the measure on the economic value or the substantial property interests of the investor (the so-called “sole effect doctrine”).16 This interpretation was applied by tribunals in the Metalclad v. Mexico17 and Pope and Talbot v. Canada18 cases, and has, subsequently, been relied on by numerous other tribunals.19
Bonnitcha, J., Substantive Protection Under Investment Treaties, A Legal and Economic Analysis, Cambridge University Press, 2014, pp. 247-255.
Reisman, W.M. and Sloane, R.D., Indirect Expropriation and its Valuation in the BIT Generation, Faculty Scholarship Papers, 2005, Paper 1002, p. 121.
Vandevelde, K.J., Bilateral Investment Treaties, Oxford University Press, 2010, p. 296.
Rajput, A., Regulatory Freedom and Indirect Expropriation in Investment Arbitration, Kluwer Law International, 2018, p. 34.
Enron Corporation and Ponderosa Assets, L.P. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/3, Award, 22 May 2007, para. 245; Tokios Tokelés v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/18, Award, 26 July 2007, para. 119; Nykomb Synergetics Technology Holding AB v. The Republic of Latvia, SCC Case No. 118/2001, Arbitral Award, 16 December 2003, para. 137; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, paras. 115-116; Starrett Housing Corporation, Starrett Systems, Inc. and others v. The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Bank Markazi Iran and others, IUSCT Case No. 24, Interlocutory Award (Award No. ITL 32-24-1), 19 December 1983, para. 66; Siemens A.G. v. The Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/8, Award, 6 February 2007, para. 245; Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15, Award, 13 September 2006, para. 65; CMS Gas Transmission Company v. The Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/8, Award, 12 May 2005, paras. 261-262; Consortium R.F.C.C. v. Kingdom of Morocco, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/6, Award, 22 December 2003, para. 69; Tippetts, Abbett, McCarthy, Stratton v. TAMS-AFFA Consulting Engineers of Iran, IUSCT Case No. 7, Award (Award No. 141-7-2), 29 June 1984, para. 22; Antoine Biloune and Marine Drive Complex Ltd. v. Ghana Investments Centre and the Government of Ghana, Award on Jurisdiction and Liability, 27 October 1989, para. 81; Metalclad Corporation v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 2000, para. 103; Compañia del Desarrollo de Santa Elena S.A. v. Republic of Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/96/1, Award, 17 February 2000, para. 77; Middle East Cement Shipping and Handling Co. v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/99/6 , Award, 12 April 2002, para. 105; Antoine Goetz and others v. Republic of Burundi (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/95/3, Award (Embodying the Parties' Settlement Agreement), 10 February 1999, para. 124; Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle Ingredients Americas, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/5, Award, 21 November 2007, para. 240; Windstream Energy LLC v. The Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2013-22, Award, 27 September 2016, para. 285; Alejandro Diego Diaz Gaspar v. Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/19/13, Award, 29 June 2022, for. 532.
When assessing the effects of the measure, tribunals generally found that a mere diminution of the investment’s value is not sufficient to constitute expropriation. In order to rise to the level of indirect expropriation, the loss of value, deprivation or government’s interference with the investor’s rights and property must be substantial, significant or important, having an effect of neutralizing or annihilating the control or property rights of the investor (“substantial deprivation test”).20
Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 115; Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15 , Award, 13 September 2006, paras. 65-67; Sempra Energy International v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/16, Award, 28 September 2007, para. 285; CMS Gas Transmission Company v. The Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/8, Award, 12 May 2005, paras. 261-264; Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle Ingredients Americas, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/5, Award, 21 November 2007, para. 242, 244-246; Pope & Talbot v. Government of Canada, Interim Award, 26 June 2000, paras. 96, 102; Occidental Exploration and Production Company v. Republic of Ecuador (I), LCIA Case No. UN3467, Award, 1 July 2004, para. 89; Enron Creditors Recovery Corporation (formerly Enron Corporation) and Ponderosa Assets, L.P. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/3, Award, 22 May 2007, para. 245; PSEG Global Inc. and Konya Ilgin Elektrik Üretim ve Ticaret Limited Sirketi v. Republic of Turkey, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/5, Award, 19 January 2007, para. 278; Azurix Corp. v. The Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, para. 322; LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, para. 188, 191; Glamis Gold Ltd. v. United States of America, Award, 8 June 2009, para. 357; BayWa r.e. Renewable Energy GmbH and BayWa r.e. Asset Holding GmbH v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/16, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 2 December 2019, para. 422; Hydro Energy 1 S.à r.l. and Hydroxana Sweden AB v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/42, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 9 March 2020, paras. 530, 531-532; Windstream Energy LLC v. The Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2013-22, Award, 27 September 2016, para. 285; Cargill, Incorporated v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/05/2, Award, 18 September 2009, para. 360; Waste Management v. United Mexican States (II), ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/3, Award, 30 April 2004, para. 160; Fireman's Fund Insurance Company v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/02/1, Award, 17 July 2006, para. 176; Corn Products International, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/1, Decision on Responsibility, 15 January 2008, para. 91; Grand River Enterprises Six Nations, Ltd., et.al. v. United States of America, Award, 12 January 2011, paras. 148-151; Crompton (Chemtura) Corp. v. Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2008-01, Award, 2 August 2010, para. 242; Marvin Roy Feldman Karpa v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/99/1, Award, 16 December 2002, paras. 151-152; CME Czech Republic B.V. v. The Czech Republic, Partial Award, 13 September 2001, para. 599; Bayindir Insaat Turizm Ticaret Ve Sanayi A.S. v. Islamic Republic of Pakistan, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/29, Award, 27 August 2009, para. 443; Eastern Sugar B.V. v. The Czech Republic, SCC Case No. 088/2004, Partial Award, 27 March 2007, para. 210; M.C.I. Power Group, L.C. and New Turbine, Inc. v. Republic of Ecuador, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/6, Award, 31 July 2007, para. 300; Cargill, Incorporated v. Republic of Poland, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/2, Final Award, 29 February 2008, para. 587; Biwater Gauff (Tanzania) Limited v. United Republic of Tanzania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/22, Award, 24 July 2008, paras. 463-464; AWG Group Ltd. v. The Argentine Republic, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 134; AES Summit Generation Limited and AES-Tisza Erömü Kft. v. Republic of Hungary (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/07/22, Award, 23 September 2010, para. 14.3.1; Total S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/1, Decision on Liability, 27 December 2010, para. 196; RosInvestCo UK Ltd. v. The Russian Federation, SCC Case No. 079/2005, Final Award, 12 September 2010, para. 623; Sergei Paushok, CJSC Golden East Company and CJSCVostokneftegaz Company v. The Government of Mongolia, Award on Jurisdiction and Liability, 28 April 2011, para. 333; Perenco Ecuador Limited v. Republic of Ecuador (Petroecuador), ICSID Case No. ARB/08/6, Decision on Remaining Issues of Jurisdiction and on Liability, 12 September 2014, paras. 682-684; Valeri Belokon v. Kyrgyz Republic, PCA Case No. AA518, Award, 24 October 2014, para. 206; Charanne B.V. and Construction Investments S.A.R.L. v. Spain, SCC Case No. 062/2012, Final Award, 21 January 2016, para. 461; Joseph Houben v. Republic of Burundi, ICSID Case No. ARB/13/7, Award, 12 January 2016, para. 200; Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, paras. 192, 286; Peter A. Allard v. The Government of Barbados, PCA Case No. 2012-06, Award, 27 June 2016, paras. 263-264; PL Holdings S.a.r.l. v. Poland, SCC Case No. V 2014/163, Partial Award, 28 June 2017, para. 320; UAB E energija (Lithuania) v. Republic of Latvia, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/33, Award of the Tribunal, 22 December 2017, para. 1074; Casinos Austria International GmbH and Casinos Austria Aktiengesellschaft v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/32, Decision on Jurisdiction, 29 June 2018, para. 228; Bosh International, Inc. and B&P, LTD Foreign Investments Enterprise v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/08/11, Award, 25 October 2012, para. 218; Tza Yap Shum v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/6, Award, 7 July 2011, para. 144; Total S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/1, Decision on Liability, 27 December 2010, para. 192; Alpha Projektholding GmbH v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/16, Award, 8 November 2010, para. 408; Metalpar S.A. and Buen Aire S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/5, Award on the Merits, 6 June 2008, paras. 172-173; El Paso Energy International Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/15, Award, 31 October 2011, paras. 249; Isolux Infrastructure Netherlands B.V. v. Kingdom of Spain, SCC Case No. V2013/153, Award, 12 July 2016, para. 839; Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija S.A. and Vivendi Universal S.A. (formerly Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija, S.A. and Compagnie Générale des Eaux) v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/97/3, Award II, 20 August 2007, paras. 7.5.11, 7.5.24; Spółdzielnia Pracy Muszynianka v. Slovak Republic, PCA Case No. 2017-08, Award, 7 October 2020, para. 638; GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Final Award, 29 April 2020, paras. 460-464; Blusun S.A., Jean-Pierre Lecorcier and Michael Stein v. Italian Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/3, Decision on Annulment, 13 April 2020, paras. 80-82; B3 Croatian Courier Coöperatief U.A. v. Republic of Croatia, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/5, Award (Excerpts), 5 April 2019, para. 1048; Silver Ridge Power BV v. Italian Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/37, Award, 26 February 2021, paras. 608-609, 611; Mohamed Abdel Raouf Bahgat v. Arab Republic of Egypt, PCA Case No. 2012-07, Final Award, 23 December 2019, para. 221; Quiborax S.A. and Non Metallic Minerals S.A. v. Plurinational State of Bolivia, ICSID Case No. ARB/06/2, Award, 16 September 2015, para. 238; Enkev Beheer B.V. v. Republic of Poland, PCA Case No. 2013-01, First Partial Award, 29 April 2014, para. 344; Copper Mesa Mining Corporation v. Republic of Ecuador, PCA Case No. 2012-2, Award, 15 March 2016, paras. 6.67, 6.123; Cavalum SGPS, S.A. v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/34, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 31 August 2020, para. 652; Abengoa, S.A. and COFIDES, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/09/2, Award, 18 April 2013, para. 610; Eurus Energy Holdings Corporation and Eurus Energy Europe B.V. v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/16/4, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 17 March 2021, para. 257; Carlos Ríos and Francisco Ríos v. Republic of Chile, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/16, Award, 11 January 2021, paras. 249-250; Muhammet Çap & Sehil Inşaat Endustri ve Ticaret Ltd. Sti. v. Turkmenistan, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/6, Award, 4 May 2021, para. 809; Olympic Entertainment Group AS v. Ukraine, PCA Case No. 2019-18, Award, 15 April 2021, paras. 104-105; Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15 , Award, 13 September 2006, para. 70; Cargill, Incorporated v. Republic of Poland II, UNCITRAL, Award, 5 March 2008, paras. 578-580; Metalpar S.A. and Buen Aire S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/5, Award, 6 June 2008, para. 172-173; Continental Casualty Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/9, Award, 5 September 2008, para. 284; Impregilo S.p.A. v. Argentine Republic I, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/17, Award, 21 June 2011, para. 270; Tomasz Czescik and Robert Aleksandrowicz v. Republic of Cyprus, SCC Case No. V2014/169, Final Award, 11 February 2017, para. 212; UP (formerly Le Chèque Déjeuner) and C.D Holding Internationale v. Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/13/35, Award, 9 October 2018, paras. 305-305, 333; Infinito Gold Ltd. v. Republic of Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/5, Award, 3 June 2021, para. 717; OOO Manolium Processing v. The Republic of Belarus, PCA Case No. 2018-06, Final Award, 22 June 2021, para. 429; Eco Oro Minerals Corp. v. Republic of Colombia, ICSID Case No. ARB/16/41, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 9 September 2021, para. 634; RENERGY S.à r.l. v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/18, Award, 6 May 2022, para. 1004; Alejandro Diego Diaz Gaspar v. Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/19/13, Award, 29 June 2022, for. 532; Horthel Systems BV, Poland Gaming Holding BV and Tesa Beheer BV v. Poland, PCA Case No. 2014-31, Final Award, 16 February 2017, para. 209.
Continued exercise of control21 by the investor over the investment, and the duration of the measure22 affecting the interests of an investor are also factors that tribunals often take into consideration.23
LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, para. 199; Marvin Roy Feldman Karpa v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/99/1, Award, 16 December 2002, para. 142; Starrett Housing Corporation, Starrett Systems, Inc. and others v. The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Bank Markazi Iran and others, IUSCT Case No. 24, Interlocutory Award (Award No. ITL 32-24-1), 19 December 1983, para. 67; El Paso Energy International Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/15, Award, 31 October 2011, para. 245; Antoine Goetz & Consorts and S.A. Affinange des Métaux v. Republic of Burundi (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/01/2, Award, 21 June 2012, para. 194; Sempra Energy International v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/16, Award, 28 September 2007, para. 284-285; GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Final Award, 29 April 2020, paras. 460-462, 464; Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Ltd v. Republic of Indonesia, PCA Case No. 2015-40, Final Award, 29 March 2019, para. 305; Venezuela US, S.R.L. v. Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, PCA Case No. 2013-34, Partial Award (Jurisdiction and Liability), 5 February 2021, paras. 250-251.
Schreuer, C., The Concept of Expropriation under the ETC and other Investment Protection Treaties, 2 Transnational Dispute Management, November 2005, para. 82.
Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15, Award, 13 September 2006, para. 70; LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, para. 193; Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, para. 192; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 116; S.D. Myers, Inc. v. Government of Canada, Partial Award (Merits), 13 November 2000, paras. 283-288; Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A. (formerly Aguas Argentinas, S.A., Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A.) v. Argentine Republic (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/03/19, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 134; Cargill, Incorporated v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/05/2, Award, 18 September 2009, paras. 348, 371-377; Tippetts, Abbett, McCarthy, Stratton v. TAMS-AFFA Consulting Engineers of Iran, IUSCT Case No. 7, Award (Award No. 141-7-2), 29 June 1984, para. 22; Wena Hotels Limited v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/98/4, Award, 8 December 2000, para. 99; Middle East Cement Shipping and Handling Co. v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/99/6, Award, 12 April 2002, para. 107; Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle Ingredients Americas, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/5, Award, 21 November 2007, para. 243; Fireman's Fund Insurance Company v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/02/1, Award, 17 July 2006, para. 176; Glamis Gold Ltd. v. United States of America, Award, 8 June 2009, para. 360; GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Final Award, 29 April 2020, paras. 460-462, 464; Consutel Group S.P.A. in liquidazione v. People's Democratic Republic of Algeria, PCA Case No. 2017-33, Final Award, 3 February 2020, para. 403; Carlos Ríos and Francisco Ríos v. Republic of Chile, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/16, Award, 11 January 2021, para. 251; Olympic Entertainment Group AS v. Ukraine, PCA Case No. 2019-18, Award, 15 April 2021, para. 108.
Dolzer, R. and Schreuer, C., Principles of International Investment Law, 2nd ed., Oxford University Press, 2012, pp. 117-118, 124-125.
Further, several tribunals have given various degrees of relevance to the intent of the host State in their analysis of the measures. Some tribunals gave consideration to the host State’s intent,24 while others considered that the host State’s intent was not to be taken into consideration.25 A post-factum rationalization of the host State’s intention, however, has been considered inapposite.26
Oscar Chinn, PCIJ Series A/B. No 63, Judgment, 12 December 1934, p. 86; Sea-Land Service, Inc. v. The Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Ports and Shipping Organization, IUSCT Case No. 33, Award (Award No. 135-33-1), 22 June 1984, para. 50; Rumeli Telekom A.S. and Telsim Mobil Telekomunikasyon Hizmetleri A.S. v. Republic of Kazakhstan, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/16, Award, 29 July 2008, para. 700; Impregilo S.p.A. v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/07/17, Concurring and Dissenting Opinion of Judge Charles N. Brower (Award), para. 21; Spyridon Roussalis v. Romania, ICSID Case No. ARB/06/1, Award, 7 December 2011, para. 330; Petrobart Ltd. v. Kyrgyzstan, Stockholm Chamber of Commerce, Award of 29 March 2005, para. 55; RosInvestCo UK Ltd. v. The Russian Federation, SCC Case No. ARB V079/2005, Final Award, 12 September 2010, para. 620; Burlington Resources, Inc. v. Republic of Ecuador, ICSID Case No. ARB/08/5, Decision on Liability, 14 December 2012, paras. 400-401; UAB E energija (Lithuania) v. Republic of Latvia, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/33, Award of the Tribunal, 22 December 2017, para. 1079; B3 Croatian Courier Coöperatief U.A. v. Republic of Croatia, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/5, Award (Excerpts), 5 April 2019, para. 1050.
Metalclad Corporation v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 2000, para. 111; Fireman's Fund Insurance Company v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/02/1, Award, 17 July 2006, para. 176; Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A. (formerly Aguas Argentinas, S.A., Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A.) v. Argentine Republic (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/03/19, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 133; National Grid PLC v. The Argentine Republic, Award, 3 November 2008, para. 147; SAUR International v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/4, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 6 June 2012, para. 366; A.M.F. Aircraftleasing Meier & Fischer GmbH & Co. KG v. Czech Republic, PCA Case No. 2017-15, Separate Declaration by Arbitrator Stanimir A. Alexandrov, para. 3; Crompton (Chemtura) Corp. v. Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2008-01, Award, 2 August 2010, para. 242; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 116; Siemens A.G. v. The Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/8, Award, 6 February 2007, para. 270; Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15, Award, 13 September 2006, para. 70; Inmaris Perestroika Sailing Maritime Services GmbH and others v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/08/8, Award, 1 March 2012, para. 304.
Waste Management, Inc. v. United Mexican States(“Number 2”), ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/3, Award, 30 April 2004, para. 141; EnCana Corporation v. Republic of Ecuador, LCIA Case No. UN3481, Award, 3 February 2006, paras. 172-183; S.D. Myers, Inc. v. Government of Canada, Partial Award (Merits), 13 November 2000, para. 283; Eureko B. V. v Poland, Partial Award, 19 August 2005, paras. 239-241; Middle East Cement Shipping and Handling Co. S.A. v Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/99/6, Award, 12 April 2002, paras. 101, 105, 107 127, 138, 144; Metalclad Corporation V. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 2000, para. 103.
Marvin Roy Feldman Karpa v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/99/1, Award, 16 December 2002, para. 152; Mamidoil Jetoil Greek Petroleum Products Societe Anonyme S.A. v. Republic of Albania, ICSID Case No. ARB/11/24, Award, 30 March 2015, para. 569; Grand River Enterprises Six Nations, Ltd., et.al. v. United States of America, Award, 12 January 2011, paras. 147, 154-155; Eastern Sugar B.V. v. The Czech Republic, SCC Case No. 088/2004, Partial Award, 27 March 2007, para. 210.
In Saluka v. Czech Republic, the Tribunal considers that “a State does not commit an expropriation […] when it adopts general regulations that are ‘commonly accepted as within the police powers of States’.”29 The tribunal in the Methanex v. United States case adopted a similar, if slightly more stringent test, when it stated that “a non-discriminatory regulation for a public purpose, which is enacted in accordance with due process and, which affects, inter alios, a foreign investor or investment is not deemed expropriatory and compensable unless specific commitments had been given […] that the government would refrain from such regulation.”30 Tribunals in subsequent cases have also referred to the Saluka31 and Methanex32 decisions. Some tribunals took into account the language of the treaty.33
A more nuanced application of the police power exception can be found in the Tecmed v. Mexico case.34 Here, the tribunal refused to treat regulatory administrative actions as a general exception to indirect expropriation, instead it focused on whether the allegedly expropriatory actions are proportional to the public interest presumably protected thereby.35 Some tribunals have expressed their opinion in the contrary.36
A further important caveat, based on recent jurisprudence,37 is that the inclusion in the treaty language of any specifically worded exceptions might bar the state from relying on general exceptions - such as the exception of police powers - under international law.
Beijing Shougang Mining Investment Company Ltd., China Heilongjiang International Economic & Technical Cooperative Corp., and Qinhuangdaoshi Qinlong International Industrial Co. Ltd. v. Mongolia, PCA Case No. 2010-20 , Award, 30 June 2017, para. 322; Crompton (Chemtura) Corp. v. Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2008-01, Award, 2 August 2010, para. 266; Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Interagua Servicios Integrales de Agua, S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/17, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 128; AWG Group Ltd. v. The Argentine Republic, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 139; Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A. (formerly Aguas Argentinas, S.A., Suez, Sociedad General de Aguas de Barcelona, S.A. and Vivendi Universal, S.A.) v. Argentine Republic (II), ICSID Case No. ARB/03/19, Decision on Liability, 30 July 2010, para. 139; A.M.F. Aircraftleasing Meier & Fischer GmbH & Co. KG v. Czech Republic, PCA Case No. 2017-15, Final Award, 11 May 2020, paras. 622-625; Windstream Energy LLC v. The Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2013-22, Award, 27 September 2016, para. 284; Invesmart v. Czech Republic, Award, 26 June 2009, paras. 497-501; Ron Fuchs v. The Republic of Georgia, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/15, Award, 3 March 2010, para. 387; Impregilo S.p.A. v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/07/17, Concurring and Dissenting Opinion of Judge Charles N. Brower (Award), para. 29; SAUR International v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/4, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 6 June 2012, paras. 396-402, 405; El Paso Energy International Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/15, Award, 31 October 2011, paras. 236-241; Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, paras. 287, 291-294, 297.
Mobil Exploration and Development Inc. Suc. Argentina and Mobil Argentina S. A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/16, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 10 April 2013, para. 819; Bear Creek Mining Corporation v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/21, Award, 30 November 2017, para. 471; Hydro Energy 1 S.à r.l. and Hydroxana Sweden AB v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/42, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 9 March 2020, para. 534; Crompton (Chemtura) Corp. v. Government of Canada, PCA Case No. 2008-01, Award, 2 August 2010, para. 266; El Paso Energy International Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/15, Award, 31 October 2011, para. 243; TECO Guatemala Holdings, LLC v. Republic of Guatemala, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/23, Award, 19 December 2013, paras. 491-493; Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, para. 298.
Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 122; Azurix Corp. v. The Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, para. 311; LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, paras. 189, 195; Mobil Exploration and Development Inc. Suc. Argentina and Mobil Argentina S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/16, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 10 April 2013, para. 818; Deutsche Bank AG v. Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/2, Award, 31 October 2012, para. 522; Ampal-American Israel Corp., EGI-Fund (08-10) Investors LLC, EGI-Series Investments LLC, BSS-EMG Investors LLC and David Fischer v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/11, Decision on Liability and Heads of Loss, 21 February 2017, para. 346; Bear Creek Mining Corporation v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/21, Award, 30 November 2017, para. 347; Electrabel S.A. v. The Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/19, Award, 25 November 2015, para. 179; Fireman’s Fund Insurance Company v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/02/1, Award, 17 July 2006, para. 176; PL Holdings S.a.r.l. v. Poland, SCC Case No. V 2014/163, Partial Award, 28 June 2017, paras. 354, 355, 391; M. Meerapfel Söhne AG v. Central African Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/10, Excerpts of Award, 12 May 2011, paras. 314, 334; Tza Yap Shum v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/6, Award, 7 July 2011, para. 148, 174; Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, para. 296.
Magyar Farming Company Ltd, Kintyre Kft and Inicia Zrt v. Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/27, Award, 13 November 2019, para. 364; Total S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/1, Decision on Liability, 27 December 2010, para. 197; Hesham Talaat M. Al-Warraq v. The Republic of Indonesia, Final Award, 15 December 2014, para. 527.
Indirect expropriation should not be conflated with creeping expropriation, which is a form of indirect expropriation that takes place incrementally or step by step.38
Schreuer, C., The Concept of Indirect Expropriation under the ECT and Other Investment Protection Treaties, TDM 5, 2005, p. 14.
Generation Ukraine Inc. v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/9, Award, 16 September 2003, para. 20.22; Telenor Mobile Communications AS v. Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/15 , Award, 13 September 2006, para. 63; S.D. Myers, Inc. v. Government of Canada, Partial Award (Merits), 13 November 2000, para. 286; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 114.
A further point of potential confusion is the overlap between the analysis of indirect expropriation and fair and equitable treatment standard.39 For example, the concept of legitimate expectations of an investor is primarily linked to the fair and equitable treatment standard, but it has been dealt with by tribunals under indirect expropriation claims as well.40 Conversely, the effect of a given measure on the value of the investment should primarily be relevant for an indirect expropriation claim, however, tribunals have assessed it under the fair and equitable treatment standard as well,41 while other tribunals disagreed with this approach.42
Azurix Corp. v. The Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, paras. 316-323; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 149; LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, paras. 189-190; Metalclad Corporation v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 2000, para. 103; Grand River Enterprises Six Nations, Ltd., et.al. v. United States of America, Award, 12 January 2011, para. 127; El Paso Energy International Company v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/15, Award, 31 October 2011, para. 227; Carlos Ríos and Francisco Ríos v. Republic of Chile, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/16, Award, 11 January 2021, paras. 253-258.
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