One of the most common clauses in international investment agreements (“IIA”) relates to the prohibition against unlawful expropriation.1 There are two main classifications of expropriation: direct and indirect expropriation. As a sub-category of indirect expropriations,2 a creeping expropriation occurs when there is “incremental encroachment on one or more of the ownership rights of a foreign investor that eventually destroys (or nearly destroys) the value of its investment or deprives him or her of control over the investment. A series of separate State acts, usually taken within a limited time span, are then regarded as constituent parts of the unified treatment of the investor or investment.”3 Indeed, the decisive factor in classifying an indirect expropriation as a creeping expropriation is whether the expropriation results from a series of acts, each of which by itself is not sufficient to crystallize an expropriation.
According to UNCTAD, out of 2576 treaties mapped, only 8 do not have an expropriation clause.
GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Judgment of the UK High Court on the Set Aside Application [2018] EWHC 409, 2 March 2018, para. 43; Teinver S.A., Transportes de Cercanías S.A. and Autobuses Urbanos del Sur S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/1, Award, 21 July 2017, paras. 948; Cavalum SGPS, S.A. v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/34, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 31 August 2020, para. 648; Schreuer, C.H., The Concept of Expropriation under the ETC and other Investment Protection Treaties, 2005; Casinos Austria International GmbH and Casinos Austria Aktiengesellschaft v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/14/32, Award, 5 November 2021, para. 324.
Some BITs’ annexes also specify that their expropriation clause includes prohibition of creeping expropriation.5 Tribunals have also opined that the reference to “measures tantamount to nationalization” (such as mentioned in NAFTA’s Article 1110) encompasses creeping expropriations.6
Treaty between the United States of America and Mongolia concerning the encouragement and reciprocal protection of investment (1994), Letter of Submittal; Treaty between the United States of America and Honduras concerning the encouragement and reciprocal protection of investment (1945), Letter of Submittal.
See footnote 65 of AIG Capital v. Kazakhstan.
S.D. Myers, Inc. v. Government of Canada, Partial Award (Merits), 13 November 2000, para. 286; Marvin Roy Feldman Karpa v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/99/1, Award, 16 December 2002, para. 101; AIG Capital Partners, Inc. and CJSC Tema Real Estate Company v. Republic of Kazakhstan, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/6, Award, 7 October 2003, para. 10.3.1; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 114; GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Judgment of the UK High Court on the Set Aside Application [2018] EWHC 409, 2 March 2018, paras. 44, 88-91; Middle East Cement Shipping and Handling Co. v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/99/6, Award, 12 April 2002, para. 107; LG&E Energy Corp., LG&E Capital Corp. and LG&E International Inc. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/1, Decision on Liability, 3 October 2006, para. 188.
Under international investment law, there are two main categories of expropriation: direct and indirect expropriation. Direct expropriation occurs where the State measure effects a transfer of formal legal title from the investor to another entity, typically to itself. It is the “forcible appropriation by the State of tangible or intangible property of individuals by means of administrative or legislative action.”8 It “usually involves a transfer of ownership to another person (frequently the government authority concerned), but that need not necessarily be so in certain cases ...”9
GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Judgment of the UK High Court on the Set Aside Application [2018] EWHC 409, 2 March 2018, paras. 113-114; Teinver S.A., Transportes de Cercanías S.A. and Autobuses Urbanos del Sur S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/1, Award, 21 July 2017, paras. 950-951.
GPF GP S.à.r.l v. Poland, SCC Case No. 2014/168, Judgment of the UK High Court on the Set Aside Application [2018] EWHC 409, 2 March 2018, paras. 115-118, 125; Burlington Resources, Inc. v. Republic of Ecuador, ICSID Case No. ARB/08/5, Dissenting Opinion of Arbitrator Orrego Vicuña (Decision on Liability), para. 32.
Indirect expropriation, by contrast, occurs where the State has not effected formal transfer of title in an investment, but has adopted measures having the effect of substantially depriving an investor of the value of its investment. As the NAFTA Tribunal in Glamis Gold v. United States noted, “such an expropriation does not occur through a formal action such as nationalization. Instead, in an indirect expropriation, some entitlements inherent in the property right are taken by the government or the public so as to render almost without value the rights remaining with the investor.”13
Similarly to direct expropriation, indirect expropriation (including creeping expropriation) requires a substantial or irreversible deprivation.14 Such substantial deprivation therefore can occur:
Metalclad Corporation v. The United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/97/1, Award, 30 August 2000, para. 103; Archer Daniels Midland and Tate & Lyle Ingredients Americas, Inc. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/04/5, Award, 21 November 2007, para. 240; Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija S.A. and Vivendi Universal S.A. (formerly Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija, S.A. and Compagnie Générale des Eaux) v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/97/3, Award II, 20 August 2007, paras. 7.5.11-7.5.16.
Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 115; Electrabel S.A. v. The Republic of Hungary, ICSID Case No. ARB/07/19, Decision on Jurisdiction, Applicable Law and Liability, 30 November 2012, para. 6.62; CME Czech Republic B.V. v. The Czech Republic, Partial Award, 13 September 2001, para. 604.
Anglia Auto Accessories Limited v. The Czech Republic, SCC Case No. 2014/181, Final Award, 10 March 2017, para. 292; J.P. Busta and I.P. Busta v. The Czech Republic, SCC Case No. 2015/014, Final Award, 10 March 2017, para. 389; Hydro Energy 1 S.à r.l. and Hydroxana Sweden AB v. Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/42, Decision on Jurisdiction, Liability and Directions on Quantum, 9 March 2020, para. 535; Carlos Ríos and Francisco Ríos v. Republic of Chile, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/16, Award, 11 January 2021, para. 195; Waste Management, Inc. v. United Mexican States (I), ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/98/2, Dissenting Opinion of Keith Highet (Arbitral Award), para. 18; Generation Ukraine Inc. v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/9, Award, 16 September 2003, paras. 20.23-20.25; Ronald S. Lauder v. Czech Republic, UNCITRAL, Final Award, 3 September 2001, para. 200; European Media Ventures SA v. The Czech Republic, Partial Award on Liability, 8 July 2009, para. 47; Hydro S.r.l. and others v. Republic of Albania, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/28, Award, 24 April 2019, para. 686.
An indirect expropriation can be the result of a single expropriatory act. It also can occur through a series of acts, each of which by itself does not constitute an expropriation, but when taken together entails a breach of the treaty.19 This is the case of a creeping expropriation.20 The duration needed for these measures to constitute a creeping expropriation will depend on factual configurations of each case.21
Biwater Gauff (Tanzania) Limited v. United Republic of Tanzania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/22, Award, 24 July 2008, para. 455; Tradex Hellas S.A. v. Republic of Albania, ICSID Case No. ARB/94/2, Award, 29 April 1999, para. 191; Rumeli Telekom A.S. and Telsim Mobil Telekomunikasyon Hizmetleri A.S. v. Republic of Kazakhstan, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/16, Award, 29 July 2008, para. 700; Abengoa, S.A. and COFIDES, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/09/2, Award, 18 April 2013, para. 610; Hydro S.r.l. and others v. Republic of Albania, ICSID Case No. ARB/15/28, Award, 24 April 2019, paras. 724-725.
Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, para. 114; Spyridon Roussalis v. Romania, ICSID Case No. ARB/06/1, Award, 7 December 2011, para. 329; Valores Mundiales, S.L. and Consorcio Andino S.L. v. Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, ICSID Case No. ARB/13/11, Award, 25 July 2017, paras. 395, 398; Generation Ukraine Inc. v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/9, Award, 16 September 2003, para. 20.22; Impregilo S.p.A. v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/07/17, Concurring and Dissenting Opinion of Judge Charles N. Brower (Award), para. 21; Carlos Ríos and Francisco Ríos v. Republic of Chile, ICSID Case No. ARB/17/16, Award, 11 January 2021, paras. 192, 247; Teinver S.A., Transportes de Cercanías S.A. and Autobuses Urbanos del Sur S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/1, Award, 21 July 2017, paras. 948-949.
Link-Trading Joint Stock Company v. Department for Customs Control of the Republic of Moldova, Final Award, 18 April 2002, para. 87; Burlington Resources, Inc. v. Republic of Ecuador, ICSID Case No. ARB/08/5, Decision on Liability, 14 December 2012, paras. 537-538; Teinver S.A., Transportes de Cercanías S.A. and Autobuses Urbanos del Sur S.A. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/09/1, Award, 21 July 2017, paras. 950-951; Enron Creditors Recovery Corporation (formerly Enron Corporation) and Ponderosa Assets, L.P. v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/01/3, Award, 22 May 2007, para. 244; Sempra Energy International v. Argentine Republic, ICSID Case No. ARB/02/16, Award, 28 September 2007, para. 283; Werner Schneider, acting in his capacity as insolvency administrator of Walter Bau Ag v. The Kingdom of Thailand (formerly Walter Bau AG (in liquidation) v. The Kingdom of Thailand), Award, 1 July 2009, paras. 10.11-10.12; Generation Ukraine Inc. v. Ukraine, ICSID Case No. ARB/00/9, Award, 16 September 2003, para. 20.33; EDF (Services) Limited v. Republic of Romania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/13, Award, 8 October 2009, para. 308; EBO Invest AS, Rox Holding AS and Staur Eiendom AS v. Republic of Latvia, ICSID Case No. ARB/16/38, Award, 28 February 2020, paras. 503, 514; Pope & Talbot v. Government of Canada, Interim Award, 26 June 2000, para. 102; Mamidoil Jetoil Greek Petroleum Products Societe Anonyme S.A. v. Republic of Albania, ICSID Case No. ARB/11/24, Award, 30 March 2015, para. 578-580.
Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija S.A. and Vivendi Universal S.A. (formerly Compañía de Aguas del Aconquija, S.A. and Compagnie Générale des Eaux) v. Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/97/3, Award II, 20 August 2007, paras. 7.5.31-7.5.34; Biwater Gauff (Tanzania) Limited v. United Republic of Tanzania, ICSID Case No. ARB/05/22, Award, 24 July 2008, para. 418; Lee Jong Baek and Central Asian Development Corporation v. Kyrgyz Republic, MCCI Case No. A-213/08, Award, 13 November 2013, para. [244]; RosInvestCo UK Ltd. v. The Russian Federation, SCC Case No. 079/2005, Final Award, 12 September 2010, paras. 611, 633.
IV. Jurisdiction ratione temporis of the tribunal over creeping expropriation and other temporal issues
In contrast to a “single-act” breach, a creeping expropriation is a composite act (see Jurisdiction ratione temporis, Section IV.B.2).28 That is to say, a “breach of an international obligation by a State through a series of actions or omissions defined in aggregate as wrongful occurs.”29 This is a kind of “straw that breaks the camel’s back” breach, as the Siemens tribunal has recognized:30
"By definition, creeping expropriation refers to a process, to steps that eventually have the effect of an expropriation. If the process stops before it reaches that point, then expropriation would not occur. This does not necessarily mean that no adverse effects would have occurred. Obviously, each step must have an adverse effect but by itself may not be significant or considered an illegal act. The last step in a creeping expropriation that tilts the balance is similar to the straw that breaks the camel’s back. The preceding straws may not have had a perceptible effect but are part of the process that led to the break."
The composite act breach entails an interesting jurisdictional ratione temporis question insofar as “the breach extends over the entire period starting with the first of the actions or omissions of the series and lasts for as long as these actions or omissions are repeated and remain not in conformity with the international obligation.”31
A creeping expropriation claim can only be successful where an investment existed at the time of the alleged acts and omissions of the host State.32 See further Jurisdiction ratione temporis, Section III.
If the expropriation fully takes place before the entry into force of the IIA, pursuant to the principle of non-retroactivity, the tribunal will not have jurisdiction ratione temporis.33 See further Jurisdiction ratione temporis, Section IV.A
Occasionally, however, one or several creeping expropriatory acts may have occurred before the entry into force of the IIA. The commentary to ILC Draft Articles on State Responsibility offers some guidance on this front: “[i]n cases where the relevant obligation did not exist at the beginning of the course of conduct but came into being thereafter, the ‘first’ of the actions or omissions of the series for the purposes of State responsibility will be the first occurring after the obligation came into existence.”34 However, the commentary also acknowledges that “[t]his need not prevent a court taking into account earlier actions or omissions for other purposes (e.g. in order to establish a factual basis for the later breaches or to provide evidence of intent).”35
Among tribunals, there is still debate on whether the composite act nature of the creeping expropriation allows the tribunal to take into account acts that have occurred before the entry into force of the treaty.
Industria Nacional de Alimentos, S.A. and Indalsa Perú, S.A. (formerly Empresas Lucchetti, S.A. and Lucchetti Perú, S.A.) v. Republic of Peru, ICSID Case No. ARB/03/4, Award, 7 February 2005, para. 59; Emilio Agustín Maffezini v. The Kingdom of Spain, ICSID Case No. ARB/97/7, Decision of the Tribunal on Objections to Jurisdiction, 25 January 2000, paras. 90-98; Jan de Nul N.V. and Dredging International N.V. v. Arab Republic of Egypt, ICSID Case No. ARB/04/13, Decision on Jurisdiction, 16 June 2006, para. 116; Técnicas Medioambientales Tecmed, S.A. v. United Mexican States, ICSID Case No. ARB(AF)/00/2, Award, 29 May 2003, paras. 54-66.
Finally, international law does not dictate any test to determine the date of valuation for purposes of compensation, as this is a factual question.39 Given the composite act nature of the creeping expropriation, the valuation date for this type of expropriations generally is generally the date when the first wrongful act or omission by the State occurred.40 See further Valuation date.
Alternatively, other tribunals have chosen the date in which the “expropriation has been consummated.”41 See further Valuation date.
Azurix Corp. v. The Argentine Republic (I), ICSID Case No. ARB/01/12, Award, 14 July 2006, paras. 417-418; Compañia del Desarrollo de Santa Elena S.A. v. Republic of Costa Rica, ICSID Case No. ARB/96/1, Award, 17 February 2000, para. 78; Yukos Universal Limited (Isle of Man) v. The Russian Federation, PCA Case No. 2005-04/AA227, Final Award, 18 July 2014, para. 1761; Hulley Enterprises Ltd. v. Russian Federation, PCA Case No. 2005-03/AA226, Final Award, 18 July 2014, para. 1761; Veteran Petroleum Limited v. The Russian Federation, PCA Case No. 2005-05/AA228, Final Award, 18 July 2014, para. 1761.
The final interesting analysis for a creeping expropriation claim is that of distinguishing it from legitimate regulatory acts. Many of the acts taken by a State, which could be perceived by the investor as a creeping indirect expropriation, could actually be the result of the exercise of legitimate governmental police powers. The Feldman v. Mexico tribunal acknowledges this by stating:
“[t]he Tribunal notes that the ways in which governmental authorities may force a company out of business, or significantly reduce the economic benefits of its business, are many. In the past, confiscatory taxation, denial of access to infrastructure or necessary raw materials, imposition of unreasonable regulatory regimes, among others, have been considered to be expropriatory actions. At the same time, governments must be free to act in the broader public interest through protection of the environment, new or modified tax regimes, the granting or withdrawal of government subsidies, reductions or increases in tariff levels, imposition of zoning restrictions and the like. Reasonable governmental regulation of this type cannot be achieved if any business that is adversely affected may seek compensation, and it is safe to say that customary international law recognizes this.”42
However, as the Feldman tribunal rightfully recognizes, only reasonable governmental regulation is allowed.43 Indeed, under customary international law, tribunals have required that police or regulatory powers by host States must be taken in good faith to protect the public welfare, on a non-discriminatory basis and be proportional to the ends sought. Not all tribunals, however, have required proportionality— some have referred to standards of non-arbitrariness44 or reasonableness,45 or appropriateness.46 A legitimate exercise of a State’s police powers will not constitute an expropriation and thus compensation would not be owed.47 See further Police powers doctrine, State regulatory powers and Public interest.
Philip Morris Brand Sàrl (Switzerland), Philip Morris Products S.A. (Switzerland) and Abal Hermanos S.A. (Uruguay) v. Oriental Republic of Uruguay, ICSID Case No. ARB/10/7, Award, 8 July 2016, paras. 291-305; Tethyan Copper Company Pty Limited v. Islamic Republic of Pakistan, ICSID Case No. ARB/12/1, Decision on Jurisdiction and Liability, 10 November 2017, para. 1329.
Creeping expropriations are a composite-act type of indirect expropriation forbidden by IIAs. Although it has been widely accepted as type of prohibited expropriation, requiring compensation, there are a dearth of cases which have actually found such a breach. Finally, good faith and non-discriminatory measures taken by the State will not constitute a creeping expropriation.
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